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Mortgage Rates
Market Trends
The tightening in mortgage-lending policies that characterized the last 3 years appears to be slowing.
According to the Federal Reserve’s quarterly survey of senior bank loan officers, roughly 1 in 10 lenders added mortgage qualification hurdles between April and June. It’s a huge departure from just 2 years ago when the mortgage industry was facing its first wave of challenges.
During that period, eight in 10 lenders added hurdles.
For mortgage applicants in the North Georgia Mountains , this quarter’s Fed survey results signals that mortgage lending may have reached its limits of restriction.
Since 2007, mortgage guidelines have become increasingly restrictive. There’s extra scrutiny on assets and tax returns; employment history is given more weight; loan purpose matters. There’s a bevy of traits that can stand between you and an approval that didn’t exist a few years ago.
That said, lots of homeowners are still getting loans.
Verifiable income, good credit scores and equity are the “magic formula” and banks want to lend to good credit risks. And the best news for those that qualify is that mortgage rates are fantastic right now.
According to Freddie Mac, mortgage rates are as low as they’ve been in history.
So, if you’re among the many wondering if now is the right time to buy a home — or refinance one — remember that, although mortgage guidelines likely won’t get worse, mortgage rates probably will.
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Another week, another new low for conforming mortgage rates. In fact, this week marks the 9th time in a row it’s happened.
Mortgage rates are (again) at their lowest levels in history.
The data comes from the Freddie Mac, a government group and major loan securitizer for the U.S. mortgage market. Freddie Mac’s weekly survey is among the most widely-cited reports on mortgage rates and is the data used in home affordability models, among other statistics.
The 30-year fixed rate is averaging 4.42% nationally with an accompanying cost of 0.7 points. 1 point is equal to 1 percent of the loan size. This week’s reported rate is lower by 0.02 percent from last week, and lower by 0.70 percent from one year ago.
On a region-by-region basis, though, “average” 30-year fixed mortgage rates are different.
- Northeast : 4.44 with 0.6 points
- Southeast : 4.44 with 0.8 points
- N. Central : 4.42 with 0.4 points
- Southeast : 4.46 with 0.5 points
- West : 4.35 with 0.8 points
But this isn’t to say that mortgage pricing is better in, say, California as compared to Florida. Note that the West Region — with the lowest average rate — has the highest required points. This is because mortgage rates and mortgage fees move in opposite directions. The type of low-rate/high fee structure common in the West may be right for some home buyers and would-be refinancers, but may not be right for others.
What’s important to remember is that, as a rate-shopper in Georgia , it’s always your choice on how your loan is structured. Banks offer multiple set-ups — with or without points — to meet every applicant’s budget.
As mortgage rates continue to slide and touch new lows, it’s an excellent opportunity to see what your lender can do for you. Low rates won’t last forever.
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Mortgage rates may be dropping, but mortgage costs are not.
According to Freddie Mac, the average required discount points on a conforming mortgage rate are higher by 0.1 percent since early-May.
A “discount point” is prepaid mortgage interest; an up-front fee paid by a borrower in exchange for a lower mortgage rate. In most cases, discount points are tax-deductible.
Tax-deductible or not, though, rising costs are rising costs and Freddie Mac glosses over it. In its weekly press release, the government group offers mortgage rate comparisons to weeks prior, but doesn’t do the same for required points.
The press fails to mention discount points entirely.
An increase of 1/10 percent in discount points costs home buyers and refinancing households in Blue Ridge and Blairsville an extra $100 per $100,000 borrowed.
The hike reminds us that there’s more to a mortgage than just its rate — costs matter, too. And if you’ve only been watching the headlines, you would have missed how costs are rising.
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Shopping multiple lenders for a “good mortgage rate” can sometimes save you 1/8 percent on your rate and/or a few hundred dollars in fees. However, when it comes to getting the best mortgage rate, you’re going to more than good research skills.
You’re going to need some luck.
Mortgage rates for people in the North Georgia Mountains or anywhere else, for that matter, are unpredictable, ever-changing, and rarely change as expected.
For example, when the Federal Reserve left the mortgage market March 31, 2010, analysts said that mortgage rates would rise by a half-percent or more. It was practically stated as fact on TV. When April 1 came around, though, rates didn’t rise.
Instead, a volcano erupted and mortgage rates dropped on safe haven buying.
Then, a week later, as the volcano ash cleared, mortgage rates were supposed to resume their rise. Only they didn’t. Instead, a debt crisis emerged in the Eurozone and mortgage rates dropped.
Since March 31, conforming mortgage rates are lower by roughly 0.125 percent, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly mortgage rate survey. At today’s rates, the savings are roughly $20 per month per $200,000 borrowed — or $100 per month based on their original, post-March 31 forecast.
It brings us to one of the most important axioms in rate shopping: You can’t shop for good luck.
- On some days, rates go higher
- On some days, rates go lower
- On some days, rates stay the same
Occasionally, there are days when rates do all three.
As a home buyer or would-be refinancer, what rate you get depends on at what time of day you do your shopping.
You can’t predict what will happen next in mortgage markets — even just an hour from now. Therefore, the smartest move, sometimes, is just lock your rate now. At least that way, you’ve got a guarantee.
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Each week, government-led Freddie Mac publishes a weekly mortgage rate survey based on data from 125 banks across the country. According to this week’s results, the relative rate of a 5-year ARM in the North Georgia Mountains…well in all of Georgia is extremely low versus its 30-year fixed-rate cousin.
Consider this comparison:
- In April 2009, the two products ran neck-and-neck with respect to rates
- In April 2010, the two products are split by 0.99 percent
On a $200,000 home loan, that’s a difference of $117 per month to a mortgage payment.
Adjustable-rate mortgages aren’t suitable for everyone, but they can be a terrific fit given your individual circumstance. For example, any one of the following scenarios could warrant a 5-year ARM:
- Buying a home with an intent to sell within 5 years
- Currently financed with a 30-year fixed mortgage with plans to sell within 5 years
- Interested in low payments and comfortable with longer-term interest rate and payment uncertainty
Additionally, homeowners with existing ARMs may want to refinance into a brand-new ARM, if only to extend the initial change date on the current note.
Before opting an ARM or a fixed, Contact Me, or give me a call at 706.994.8686 and I will put you in touch with a loan officer within my team about how adjustable-rate mortgages work, and what longer-term risks may exist. The savings may be tempting, but there’s more to consider than just the payment.
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The Federal Housing Finance Agency has extended the government’s Home Affordable Refinance Program by 12 months.
HARP’s new end date is June 30, 2011.
Originally known as Making Home Affordable, HARP aims to help Georgia homeowners refinance their mortgage who may otherwise be ineligible because of falling home values.
There are 4 basic HARP criteria every borrower must meet:
1. The existing home loan must be guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
2. Your home must be a 1- to 4-unit property
3. You must have a perfect mortgage payment history going back 12 months. No 30-day lates allowed.
4. Your first mortgage balance must be 125% or less of your home’s market value
If you’re not sure whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac back your mortgage, you can look it up. Fannie’s website is http://www.fanniemae.com/loanlookup; Freddie’s is http://freddiemac.com/mymortgage. If you don’t locate your loan on either website, your mortgage is backed by a third-party and is not HARP-eligible.
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FHA home loans are federal assistance mortgages made by lenders, and backed by the government. The FHA doesn’t make loans to Georgia homeowners — it insures loans made to Georgia homeowners by federally-qualified lenders.
By all accounts, FHA home loans are surging in popularity.
- 2006, FHA insured 3.3% of all mortgages made
- Q2 2009, FHA insured 19.2% of all mortgages made
A major reason for the increase can be tied to guidelines.
As compared to its conforming mortgage cousins Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, FHA home loans have lower down payment requirements and lower credit standards. The FHA allows down payments of 3.5 percent for homes in Blue Ridge and Blairsville, GA. and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac do not, as an example.
Another reason is that FHA home loans aren’t subject to credit score fees the way that conforming mortgages are. Through Fannie or Freddie, a home buyer with a 650 FICO and 20% down is subject to 3% in risk fees. Via the FHA, the fee is zero, making FHA the better “deal”.
The FHA published its 2010 loan limits. There’s no change from 2009.
The base 2010 FHA loan limits are:
- 1-unit : $271,050
- 2-unit : $347,000
- 3-unit : $419,400
- 4-unit : $521,250
We say “base” because these loan limits don’t apply to all areas equally. Higher-cost regions get higher loan limits, based on typical home values. Homes in Los Angeles County, for example, can be FHA-insured up to $729,750 in 2010, and there are special exceptions made for Alaska and Hawaii.
The official FHA announcement included a complete, county-by-county FHA loan limit list. The first spreadsheet shows each county at or above the $729,750 maximum; the second list is everyone else.
If your home’s county is on neither list, use the “base” numbers above.
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A conforming mortgage is one that, quite literally, conforms to the mortgage guidelines set forth by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
Each year, the government sets the maximum allowable loan size for a conforming mortgage, based on “typical” housing costs nationwide.
Loans in excess of this amount are typically called “jumbo”.
While home prices increased from 1980 to 2006, so did conforming loan limits. Since then, however, as home prices have dipped, the conforming loan limit has held.
Now, in 2010, for the 5th consecutive year, the government set $417,000 as the nation’s conforming mortgage loan limit.
The 2010 conforming loan limits, as released by the government, are:
- 1-unit properties : $417,000
- 2-unit properties : $533,850
- 3-unit properties : $645,300
- 4-unit properties : $801,950
But conforming loan limits don’t apply to all U.S. geographies equally. As a result of various economic stimuli since 2008, the government now considers certain regions around the country ”high-cost” areas. In these areas, conforming loan limits can range to $729,750.
There are less than 200 such areas nationwide. The complete list is published on the Fannie Mae website.
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