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Mortgage Rates
Market Trends

According to the Standard & Poors Case-Shiller Index, home values rose 5 percent in June versus the month prior, and 4 percent from a year earlier. It’s the 16th consecutive month in which Case-Shiller reported an increase in home values and the third straight month of outstanding results.
That said, homeowners and Home Buyers in Blairsville and Blue Ridge would do well to temper Case-Shiller enthusiasm. The June figures are issued on 60-day delay and, over the last 60 days, housing data has been lackluster at best.
- Existing Home Sales are down 27 percent
- New Home Sales are down 12 percent
- Homebuilder confidence is down
Stories like these highlight a key weakness of the Case-Shiller Index — it’s out of date as soon as it’s published. Because of this, the Case-Shiller Index relevance to everyday Americans is muted. People don’t buy homes in the “60 days ago” real estate market, after all.
June is ancient real estate history to buyers and sellers in the North Georgia Mountains.
However, the Case-Shiller Index does have its place. As the most widely-followed, private-sector housing tracker, the index is used to help make policy decisions and to shape Wall Street’s expectations of the economy. This means that a strong Case-Shiller reading can cause mortgage rates to rise, and a weak Case-Shiller reading can cause rates to fall.
Tuesday, mortgage rates fell.
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Another week, another new low for conforming mortgage rates. In fact, this week marks the 9th time in a row it’s happened.
Mortgage rates are (again) at their lowest levels in history.
The data comes from the Freddie Mac, a government group and major loan securitizer for the U.S. mortgage market. Freddie Mac’s weekly survey is among the most widely-cited reports on mortgage rates and is the data used in home affordability models, among other statistics.
The 30-year fixed rate is averaging 4.42% nationally with an accompanying cost of 0.7 points. 1 point is equal to 1 percent of the loan size. This week’s reported rate is lower by 0.02 percent from last week, and lower by 0.70 percent from one year ago.
On a region-by-region basis, though, “average” 30-year fixed mortgage rates are different.
- Northeast : 4.44 with 0.6 points
- Southeast : 4.44 with 0.8 points
- N. Central : 4.42 with 0.4 points
- Southeast : 4.46 with 0.5 points
- West : 4.35 with 0.8 points
But this isn’t to say that mortgage pricing is better in, say, California as compared to Florida. Note that the West Region — with the lowest average rate — has the highest required points. This is because mortgage rates and mortgage fees move in opposite directions. The type of low-rate/high fee structure common in the West may be right for some home buyers and would-be refinancers, but may not be right for others.
What’s important to remember is that, as a rate-shopper in Georgia , it’s always your choice on how your loan is structured. Banks offer multiple set-ups — with or without points — to meet every applicant’s budget.
As mortgage rates continue to slide and touch new lows, it’s an excellent opportunity to see what your lender can do for you. Low rates won’t last forever.
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For the first time this year, Fannie Mae announced significant updates to its mortgage underwriting guidelines.
The changes include newer, harsher ARM qualification standards, the elimination of a once-popular loan product, and tighter rules for interest only mortgages.
Fannie Mae made its official announcement April 30, 2010. The changes will roll out to home buyers and homeowners in Blue Ridge, Blairsville, Hiawassee and everywhere else over the next 12 weeks.
The first guideline change is tied to ARMs of 5 years or less.
Mortgage applicants must now qualify based on a mortgage rate 2% higher than their note rate. For example, if your mortgage rate is 5 percent, for qualification purposes, your rate would be 7 percent.
The elevated qualification payment will disqualify borrowers whose debt-to-income levels are borderline.
The second change is Fannie Mae’s elimination of the standard 7-year balloon mortgage. Balloon mortgages were popular early last decade. Lately, few borrowers have chosen them, though. Mostly because rates have been relative high as compared to a comparable 7-year ARM.
And, lastly, Fannie Mae is changing its interest only mortgages guidelines.
Effective June 19, 2010, Fannie Mae interest only mortgages must meet the following criteria:
- The home must be a 1-unit property
- The home must be a primary residence, or vacation home
- The borrower’s FICO must be 720 or higher
- The mortgage must be a purchase, or rate-and-term refinance. No “cash out” allowed.
Furthermore, borrowers using interest only mortgages must show two full years of mortgage payments “in the bank” at the time of closing.
Earlier this year, Fannie Mae-sister Freddie Mac announced that as of September 2010, it will stop offering interest only loans altogether.
Between Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the FHA, and other government-supported entities, the U.S. government now backs 96.5% of the U.S. mortgage market. So long as mortgage default rates are high, expect approvals for all borrower types to continue to toughen.
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A conforming mortgage is one that, quite literally, conforms to the mortgage guidelines set forth by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
Each year, the government sets the maximum allowable loan size for a conforming mortgage, based on “typical” housing costs nationwide.
Loans in excess of this amount are typically called “jumbo”.
While home prices increased from 1980 to 2006, so did conforming loan limits. Since then, however, as home prices have dipped, the conforming loan limit has held.
Now, in 2010, for the 5th consecutive year, the government set $417,000 as the nation’s conforming mortgage loan limit.
The 2010 conforming loan limits, as released by the government, are:
- 1-unit properties : $417,000
- 2-unit properties : $533,850
- 3-unit properties : $645,300
- 4-unit properties : $801,950
But conforming loan limits don’t apply to all U.S. geographies equally. As a result of various economic stimuli since 2008, the government now considers certain regions around the country ”high-cost” areas. In these areas, conforming loan limits can range to $729,750.
There are less than 200 such areas nationwide. The complete list is published on the Fannie Mae website.
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It looks like banks are less scared of mortgage loans these days.
In its quarterly survey to member banks, the Federal Reserve asked senior bank loan officers whether “prime” residential mortgage guidelines had tightened in the last 3 months.
Just one-fifth of banks said guidelines tightened last quarter, a dramatically lower figure versus last quarter — a signal that mortgage underwriting may get less restrictive in the months ahead.
It is worth noting, however, that not a single responding bank said its guidelines had eased. For now, getting through underwriting is still much tougher than it was 2 years ago.
Some of the changes today’s borrowers face include:
- Higher minimum FICOs
- Larger required downpayments and equity ownership
- Higher income levels versus monthly debts
- Larger reserve requirements
Furthermore, second mortgages are scarce when loan-to-values exceed 80 percent.
The underwriting changes of the last 24 months preclude many Americans from getting access to today’s low rates if the Fed’s reported trend continues, that could reverse before the end of the year.
Some analysts claim that credit tightening started the U.S. recession. Credit loosening, therefore, could help end it.
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